Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Martin Heinrich (6/29-7/2, likely voters):
Martin Heinrich (D): 47
Darren White (R): 44
(MoE: ±4.4%)
As far as I’m aware, this is the first publicly-released poll of this race. Considering that White probably has higher name recognition as the sheriff of Bernalillo County, this isn’t a bad starting point for Heinrich.
SSP currently rates this race as a Tossup.
UPDATE: I stand corrected! On the NRCC’s website, they’re still touting a Public Opinion Strategies poll from October that has White leading Heinrich by a whopping 18-points. So much for White being “untouchable”.
heard any fundraising numbers from either? I know Heinrich raised about 100K during the last few weeks, but Bush held a 300K fundraiser for White at some point I think.
Though you have to favor Heinrich with Obama expected to do well there.
In an internal poll? I was hoping for better than that.
I was expecting White to have a slight lead,
Perhaps even the Republican’s top recruit can’t fight off the bad environment for his party
I think we are more likely than not to win here.
released by the White campaign nine months ago according to the polling memo:
My wife is working on this campaign and she is telling me that Heinrich maintains a 7 point lead but that the polling firm wanted to be conservative. I argued with a couple of the staffers (including the old lady) regarding the validity of their saying Heinrich maintained a 7-point lead but they insisted that it was the truth.
Not sure what to make of that, but either way it’s a good thing.
Even though I care about this race, I gotta say that the NM-2 district seems much more important this cycle. The Dems will win NM-1 one of these days no matter what. The district has trended blue for years and will only lean more Dem as the years go by. NM-2 offers a great opportunity for Dems to pick off an open seat that is marginally Republican. Teague is a good fit for the district and could probably hold it for a few cycles.
Anyways, since I’m out yakking it up, I might as well start pimping.
Here is Teague’s ActBlue and site –
http://harryteagueforcongress0…
http://www.actblue.com/entity/…
Pimping ain’t easy.